Kerry and Hawaii

http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/hawaii.html

For months Kerry has had a large lead over GWB in polls done in Hawaii. In mid September he was 10% ahead, then suddenly support seems to have plummeted.

A few weeks on Bush is shading it by 1%

Are these opinion polls bullshit or has Kerry done something to suddenly piss off the people of Hawaii?

Does it have anything to do with macadamia nuts?

possibly academia nuts

Zing!

The people I know/work with are just about split 50/50.

As to why? Does anything out here really make sense? Not too many younger people out here are registered to vote. And most of everyone else seems to be 50+ and super conservative (and totally in love with Bush and his "morals")

I could cry!!!! Please Don't let Bush carry this state!!!

Hawaii has voted with the winning incumbent every single time since statehood, including Republicans.

http://starbulletin.com/2004/10/24/news/index2.html

There's a lot of military personnel in Hawaii.

[Edited on Oct 29, 2004 by stockula]

all i know is i love your state and i want to live there. went on a cruise last month to all the big islands and im in love. hawaii is the best place i ever went to in america, for sure

this has nothing to do with politics, sorry

It could be the military, but the few people I know in the military on Oahu are more anti-Bush than anyone I know.

I am happy to say that my friends are Pro-Kerry... it is the people I work for (Baptists from Arkansas) that are Bush people. And their friends... all business owners... I think I see a pattern with them anyway...

Dude, your friends are confusing me too.

That's assuming of course that Bush wins. That family does not have a good track record in Hawaii.

2000
Gore 205,286
GW Bush 137,845

1992
Clinton 179,310
GH Bush 136,822

1988
Dukakis 192,364
GH Bush 158,625


That military sure likes votin' Democrat huh?

********************

Edited to point out that this amazing track record consists of a whole THREE elections: Nixon '72, Reagan '84, Clinton '96.

WOW!!!

That's impressive!

[Edited on Oct 30, 2004 by BatAttaK_4_Kerry]

How does that disprove anything I said? Hawaii's only been a state since '59.

Another indicator is that whoever takes Missouri, takes the race. It has been wrong twice in 105 years.

Bush is currently leading in Missouri.

2000
Gore 205,286
GW Bush 137,845

1992
Clinton 179,310
GH Bush 136,822

1988
Dukakis 192,364
GH Bush 158,625


That military sure likes votin' Democrat huh?

********************

Edited to point out that this amazing track record consists of a whole THREE elections: Nixon '72, Reagan '84, Clinton '96.

QUOTE]


Being Military I will say this the Bush War Machine looks like the way to vote, if you want to go to war with every Islamic nation that has oil. (Bush hates muslims and loves oil) No thanks, I would rather be afraid of having to leave the military due to budget cuts, reduced military readyness, reduction of military service members etc etc... But I was looking at the numbers for Hawaii and I think that they are appalling! How many people are registered to vote in Hawaii, and how many people are residents of Hawaii? I tend to agree with this man right here:

Dr. Gonzo said ...

I the link worked, if not read the journal entry for Sat Oct 30 at 3:02 pm

...- .. -.- .. -. --. ... .- -- ..- .-. .- ..

Can I say again that polls don't mean dick?

According to the 2000 Census report:

Hawaii's Population - 1,211,537

and for those of you who like more info than you really need here's the breakdown by county... note that some counties are more than 1 island (ex. Maui county is Maui, Lanai and Molokai)

Hawaii County - 148,677
Maui County - 128,094
Kauai County - 58,463
Kalawao County - 147
Honolulu County - 876,156

and damn, the only registration stats I can find only go up to '96.

Zogby called it for Kerry saying, never has an incumbent polling at 48% won reelection...]

Edited to say this is just in the "never before in history category" and doesn't have anything to do with Hawaii

[Edited on Oct 30, 2004 by AaronB]