The group of seven, including six seismologists and a government official, reportedly didn't alert the public ahead of time of the risk of the L'Aquila earthquake, which occurred on April 6 of that year, killing around 300 people, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
But most scientists would agree it's not their fault they couldn't predict the wrath of Mother Nature.
"We're not able to predict earthquakes very well at all," John Vidale, a Washington State seismologist and professor at the University of Washington, told LiveScience.
Even though advances have been made, the day scientists are able to forecast earthquakes is still "far away," Dimitar Ouzounov, a professor of earth sciences at Chapman University in California, said this month regarding the prediction of the March 11 earthquake in Japan.
The group of seven, including six seismologists and a government official, reportedly didn't alert the public ahead of time of the risk of the L'Aquila earthquake, which occurred on April 6 of that year, killing around 300 people, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
But most scientists would agree it's not their fault they couldn't predict the wrath of Mother Nature.
"We're not able to predict earthquakes very well at all," John Vidale, a Washington State seismologist and professor at the University of Washington, told LiveScience.
Even though advances have been made, the day scientists are able to forecast earthquakes is still "far away," Dimitar Ouzounov, a professor of earth sciences at Chapman University in California, said this month regarding the prediction of the March 11 earthquake in Japan.
What's Italian for facepalm?
Just to be clear here, while you can't predict the moment an earthquake will occur, you can project the foreseeable likelihood of one occurring of a given magnitude given the foresight of a fault's location and it's historical activity along with the likely damage given the underlying geology within a populated area. That being said, it's ridiculous to convict a seismologist for not knowing that one was about to happen. If anyone should be charged, it should be the policy makers who haven't recognized the potential threats of earthquakes and in failing to implement building safety standards.
I am a major nature-nerd and have watched a ton of NatGeo and Discovery shows about earthquakes and seismic activity. From what I understand, the most seismologists can do right now is get a basic idea of when a quake MIGHT happen and where it MIGHT hit the hardest. Because of the way the crust shifts, you can guess when one of the plates might "snap-back", but maybe the pressure will hold for months or even years longer than you expect it to. Or maybe it looks like there is no activity, but it's ready to snap at any moment.
I think it is totally ridiculous to try to convict a scientist because he couldn't accurate predict a force of nature. It we could all predict nature, there would be no more human lives taken by natural disasters at all.
The group of seven, including six seismologists and a government official, reportedly didn't alert the public ahead of time of the risk of the L'Aquila earthquake, which occurred on April 6 of that year, killing around 300 people, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
But most scientists would agree it's not their fault they couldn't predict the wrath of Mother Nature.
"We're not able to predict earthquakes very well at all," John Vidale, a Washington State seismologist and professor at the University of Washington, told LiveScience.
Even though advances have been made, the day scientists are able to forecast earthquakes is still "far away," Dimitar Ouzounov, a professor of earth sciences at Chapman University in California, said this month regarding the prediction of the March 11 earthquake in Japan.
What's Italian for facepalm?
Just to be clear here, while you can't predict the moment an earthquake will occur, you can project the foreseeable likelihood of one occurring of a given magnitude given the foresight of a fault's location and it's historical activity along with the likely damage given the underlying geology within a populated area. That being said, it's ridiculous to convict a seismologist for not knowing that one was about to happen. If anyone should be charged, it should be the policy makers who haven't recognized the potential threats of earthquakes and in failing to implement building safety standards.
Italian judge Marco Billi sentenced six seismologists, volcanologists and geophysicists and one public safety official to 6 years each, two more years than prosecutors had requested. The sentences will not take effect until appeals are exhausted, and many expect the verdict to be overturned, but it is by no means certain.
Italian judge Marco Billi sentenced six seismologists, volcanologists and geophysicists and one public safety official to 6 years each, two more years than prosecutors had requested. The sentences will not take effect until appeals are exhausted, and many expect the verdict to be overturned, but it is by no means certain.
To Representative Todd Akin, Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney, and other U.S. lawmakers who think like him: Your move. Can you top this?
FellOnEarth said: This is like something out of a Fellini movie.
If I may jack the thread for a moment, I keep meaning to see some of Fellini's work, and an old co-worker of mine (who I credit with getting me into Kurosawa, stuff available through Criterion, etc.) gave me a list of his movies I had to watch in order. Damned if I remember, though.
To be on topic, this is simply fucked up. I'm with BDeyeD on this one.
FellOnEarth said: This is like something out of a Fellini movie.
If I may jack the thread for a moment, I keep meaning to see some of Fellini's work, and an old co-worker of mine (who I credit with getting me into Kurosawa, stuff available through Criterion, etc.) gave me a list of his movies I had to watch in order. Damned if I remember, though.
To be on topic, this is simply fucked up. I'm with BDeyeD on this one.
I just watched Satyricon. That movie was a trip and a half. If you watch 8 1/2, watch Allen's Stardust Memories also if you can.
Getting back to the thread, I hope they get out of this nonsense on appeals.
RudieCantFail
I'm lost
January 2006
MAY 27, 2011 08:53 AM