Not looking good for Obama in Ohio

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/oh/ohio_democratic_primary-263.html

HELP OBAMA!!!

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Donate: https://donate.barackobama.com

IIRC, Obama was looking for a tie at best in Ohio and a win in Texas. Hillary has to pull off a big win in both states to remain relevant and stay in the game after 11 straight losses, and that isn't looking likely.

Texas is going to be more intresting since either Obama or Clinton could be the "winner" in the straw poll but since Texas is a heavy republican state the democratic party award more delegates to areas that vote more heavily democrate so thye might get 5 or more delegates and other counties could get only 1 so its going to be a bit more tricky to figure out the real winner in Texas.

Here's a twist: http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/3/2/16596/61053/380/467458

I am also unsure how "some really close numbers for Ohio" equates with "not looking good for Obama in Ohio."

The OSU buzz seems to be very pro-Obama, and if numbers elsewhere hold true for Ohio (high numbers of student voters, etc.) then he may end up being just fine here. Which he more or less will be no matter what. There will be no crushing defeat from the hands of the Clinton campaign.

Hmmm, looks like the uncivil war may continue past next Tuesday.

my prediction?

It's going to be a very, very tight race here. I don't think anyone will be able to make the call correctly on who is going to win it. Ohio has a population of around 11.5 million people, granted all of them can't vote, but any staw poll of 600-1000 or so people, isn't going to give any evidence in who is going to win IMO.

I CALL FOR OBAMA.

50:50, right?

You're gonna owe me, DR.

(Someone guess Clinton, now, and we got him in a tight spot.)

you title should read "get out and vote for obama in ohio" - if that is what you want.

I predict Ron Paul will make his come back in Ohio.

beat that!

A close victory is a win for Obama. Hillary needs to crush him to stay in the race.

She's doomed.

i'd still like to see him win though.

Well, I would have said that, FTR, but you did first.

GORE '08!!

wait, what?

I am going to go out on a limb and say Hillary will sneak by with a win. SInce most Republicans think McCain has already won they will be more likly to vote in the Democratic Primarys. I know the trend has been for Republicans to vote for Obama but i think the die hard Republicans will see this as a chance to push for a brokered convention for the Democrats and they need Hillary to stay in the race. Not saying i agree with it but it is a good possability.

Egads!!! The suspense is killing me. I just wish mediocre Tuesday 2.0 would be done already. It's quite unbelievable how Obama is having to defend himself on two fronts during this primary campaign (from both Clinton & McCain). Damned if he isn't doing it well though... Damned if he doesn't win... :I

See above.

"The King is in the all together
But all together the all together
He's all together as naked as the day that he was born.

The King is in the all together
But all together the all together
It's all together the very least the King has ever worn.

All the courts positioned to call an intermission.
His majesty is wide open to ridicule and scorn.

The King is in the all together
But all together the all together
He's all together as naked as the day that he was born."

from The King's New Clothes by Burl Ives

durrrrrrrrr i can type too

yup. I know several Republicans that are going to vote for Hillary in the open primary because they don't think that she can beat John McCain and McCain seems to have wrapped up the nomination on his end. I also know several moderate Republicans who are voting for Obama in the primary because they figure that they can accept whomever wins between Obama and McCain in the general election.

mad mad political world.

If Clinton wins in Ohio, even by a hair, it gives her campaign more ammunition to flog its last-ditch effort to convince superdelegates to give Clinton the nomination even if Obama gets more pledged delegates.

The narrative the Clinton campaign is trying to create is this, roughly:

"Obama's winning in states that will never go Democratic in a winner-take-all national election. Clinton has more support amongst voters who consider themselves Democrats, while the independents and Republicans who are voting for Obama in open primaries and caucuses will go for McCain in the general. Clinton has won in the states that are actually going to matter in the national election, like Florida, Ohio, New Jersey, California, New York and Michigan. Since the whole purpose of the superdelegates is to pick the best candidate and not simply echo the pledged delegates, they should nominate Clinton, especially if Obama doesn't lock up the nomination."

Of course, this strategy would at best wind up gift-wrapping the presidency for John McCain, and at worst fracture the Democratic party into electoral irrelevance for the next decade, but hey, why let that stop Clinton's ambition?

Obama/Carcetti 2008

Oh don't you go dragging Burl Ives into this.

To be fair, nothing looks good in Ohio.

McNulty/Freamon 2012