If you look at the methodology of the polls you usually see, they over measure Democrats by 9-11%, and the lead is not that big. Also, the polls use "registered voters," as opposed to "likely voters."
BHO's lead is still very small.
Also, the polls usually overestimate the incumbent's lead by 2%.
BHO's lead is still very small.
Also, the polls usually overestimate the incumbent's lead by 2%.
Sure, he could win.