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  • TUESDAY APRIL 28 2009 6:00 AM

El Flu Is Going To Murder You

Mexico is sending a present. It’s kind of a shitty present because it can kill you. Totally not cool, Mexico. It’s almost like you don’t care about all the money we spend on your drugs or the way we let your people pick our vegetables for almost nothing, then scorn them for trying to live. Whatever. Mexico has decided to send the swine flu our way and I am totally not interested.

Mexico has been hit hard by the swine flu and it’s a bit disturbing. The virus is apparently a new one that we haven’t seen before, but it is also a descendant of the 1918 flu virus that killed 50 million peeps. All H1N1 viruses are descendants of the 1918 virus, but they pick up a little something special along the way to make themselves stand out a bit. This flu has the pig part, with a little bird and human virus genes thrown in, which makes it “very unusual.” Me no likey very unusual flu. And it’s a mover.

"This is moving fast," said Richard Besser, head of the CDC, "but I want you to understand that we view this more as a marathon."



Super. Basically, the CDC and WHO are freaking out because they don’t know exactly what is going on. They know a flu is spreading, but they don’t know how deadly it is. At the time I wrote this article, 149 people were confirmed dead in Mexico and there were 40 confirmed cases in the US, a few in Canada, Scotland, New Zealand and some suspected cases elsewhere. It’s already all over the place and it’s just getting going.

The cases in the US and Canada are very mild, which has confused scientists even more. On one hand, it could have co-infected with other microbes in Mexico to create a super death flu or it could be the same virus that has mutated into a less lethal form. Or it could be the treatment methods in Mexico. And nobody knows how many Mexicans have come down with a mild case of the flu. Sounds awesome, right?

The Mexican president is saying the problem is under control, while the death toll increases. On Sunday, when the president made his claim, 86 people were dead. Now we're up to 149 and people on the ground are saying it is much worse.

I'm a specialist doctor in respiratory diseases and intensive care at the Mexican National Institute of Health. There is a severe emergency over the swine flu here. More and more patients are being admitted to the intensive care unit. Despite the heroic efforts of all staff (doctors, nurses, specialists, etc) patients continue to inevitably die. The truth is that anti-viral treatments and vaccines are not expected to have any effect, even at high doses. It is a great fear among the staff. The infection risk is very high among the doctors and health staff.

There is a sense of chaos in the other hospitals and we do not know what to do. Staff are starting to leave and many are opting to retire or apply for holidays. The truth is that mortality is even higher than what is being reported by the authorities, at least in the hospital where I work it. It is killing three to four patients daily, and it has been going on for more than three weeks. It is a shame and there is great fear here. Increasingly younger patients aged 20 to 30 years are dying before our helpless eyes and there is great sadness among health professionals here.

Antonio Chavez, Mexico City



Ruh roh.

I work as a resident doctor in one of the biggest hospitals in Mexico City and sadly, the situation is far from "under control". As a doctor, I realize that the media does not report the truth. Authorities distributed vaccines among all the medical personnel with no results, because two of my partners who worked in this hospital (interns) were killed by this new virus in less than six days even though they were vaccinated as all of us were. The official number of deaths is 20, nevertheless, the true number of victims are more than 200. I understand that we must avoid to panic, but telling the truth it might be better now to prevent and avoid more deaths.

Yeny Gregorio Dávila, Mexico City



Nada bueno, amigos. And it gets worse. The 1918 flu killed so many because young adults were the most likely to die. This flu appears to be the same deal. It causes the body’s own defenses to work against the body -- those that succumb drown from an extreme build-up of fluid in the lungs which is brought on by the body's immune response. So, the people least likely to die from this flu are those under 3 and over 60. Those most likely to kick it are between 20 and 40. This is one of the key signs of a pandemic flu. The 1918 flu killed 2.5% of those infected, while this Mexico version is killing 7% of reported cases. Hence the freak out.

The government is now saying it’s not if we have outbreaks, it's when.

Federal officials today declared a public health emergency involving human swine flu, warning Americans to prepare for widespread outbreaks now or in the future, yet urging them not to panic.



The question is how bad will it get? Economically, given our current situation, a full-blown pandemic would be fucking devastating. Pandemic waves commonly last 12 weeks. Did you know some government agencies recommend you stockpile enough goodies to get by for 12 weeks? Are you ready? I can hold on for 6 days, then I’m going to need milk and some kind of cheese cracker situation. Grocery stores don’t keep more than a week’s worth of food, if that. Now imagine a run on grocery stores if a pandemic breaks out? How’s that look? What if the flu sweeps through your local power or water plant? How’s that going for you? What about your garbage men? Now that they’re all infected, trash is piling up and the rats are out. Also, enjoying all those imported cheap foods? They aren’t happening because the border is closed. How do you feel now that half of the doctors and nurses have quit? Not so good?

Our society is actually quite fragile. Aside from the deaths, fear is the next big bad during a pandemic. It leads to people doing all sorts of crazy things. The economy would nose dive because of all those employees staying home because they are sick, staying home because they are afraid of becoming sick and staying home because they are quarantined with a family member who is ill.

So, this one could be the big bad or it could be nothing. I suggest you keep an eye on it and maybe do a little prep.


FearTheReaper is a writer, actor and stand up comedian. Check back each Tuesday and Friday for more from FearTheReaper


 

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Comments
SockPuppet

SockPuppet

I'm lost
July 2006

JUL 10, 2009 02:09 PM

The British Government has abandoned containment as policy, since it's no longer tenable.
source

mingol

mingol

Singapore
July 2005

JUL 10, 2009 02:15 PM

SockPuppet said:
The British Government has abandoned containment as policy, since it's no longer tenable.
source


Same story here, too.

Stiles

Stiles

Philadelphia, PA
November 2002

JUL 10, 2009 02:26 PM

nicole_powers said:
Oh joy. The Daily Mail "reports":

Swine flu deaths in Britain double as health experts warn of epidemic in London 'within days.'


.



Yep, they've doubled...

to 14.

Pom_felo

Pom_felo

San Antonio, TX
February 2004

JUL 10, 2009 02:42 PM

Stiles said:

nicole_powers said:
Oh joy. The Daily Mail "reports":

Swine flu deaths in Britain double as health experts warn of epidemic in London 'within days.'


.



Yep, they've doubled...

to 14.



Whoa whoa whoa whoa! Don't let some context slip through into a good panic story.

FearTheReaper

FearTheReaper

NEWSWIRE

I'm lost

JUL 10, 2009 02:46 PM

pomfelo said:

Stiles said:

nicole_powers said:
Oh joy. The Daily Mail "reports":

Swine flu deaths in Britain double as health experts warn of epidemic in London 'within days.'


.



Yep, they've doubled...

to 14.



Whoa whoa whoa whoa! Don't let some context slip through into a good panic story.



Right. Oh, by the way, the flu is supposed to drop to barely existent numbers during the summer. The fact that it is increasing was considered to be the #1 bad sign of things to come.

But, yeah, people dying and cases increasing is no big deal.

Heigai

Heigai

Columbus, OH
May 2004

JUL 10, 2009 03:50 PM

FearTheReaper said:
Right. Oh, by the way, the flu is supposed to drop to barely existent numbers during the summer. The fact that it is increasing was considered to be the #1 bad sign of things to come.

But, yeah, people dying and cases increasing is no big deal.



In America there can only ever be two choices for anything. This apparently includes response to flu outbreaks. We can only "panic" or "ignore" it.

I really prefer to just keep an eye on it. It continues to be depressing to me that many overreacted to this flu (especially the stupid mainstream media) but it is equally puzzling how so many are just yawning their way through it as if it has no importance at all. The fact is that there are lots of complicated ways H1N1 could get much, much worse all over the planet.

It's odd to see some who are so vigilant in other threads about racism appearing to blithely ignore the southern hemisphere in this thread.

FearTheReaper

FearTheReaper

NEWSWIRE

I'm lost

JUL 10, 2009 04:24 PM

Toku666 said:

FearTheReaper said:
Right. Oh, by the way, the flu is supposed to drop to barely existent numbers during the summer. The fact that it is increasing was considered to be the #1 bad sign of things to come.

But, yeah, people dying and cases increasing is no big deal.



In America there can only ever be two choices for anything. This apparently includes response to flu outbreaks. We can only "panic" or "ignore" it.

I really prefer to just keep an eye on it. It continues to be depressing to me that many overreacted to this flu (especially the stupid mainstream media) but it is equally puzzling how so many are just yawning their way through it as if it has no importance at all. The fact is that there are lots of complicated ways H1N1 could get much, much worse all over the planet.

It's odd to see some who are so vigilant in other threads about racism appearing to blithely ignore the southern hemisphere in this thread.



Agreed. The reaction is bizarre.

Tiger_Fodder

Tiger_Fodder

Braintree, MA
June 2007

JUL 10, 2009 04:44 PM

Toku666 said:

FearTheReaper said:
Right. Oh, by the way, the flu is supposed to drop to barely existent numbers during the summer. The fact that it is increasing was considered to be the #1 bad sign of things to come.

But, yeah, people dying and cases increasing is no big deal.



In America there can only ever be two choices for anything. This apparently includes response to flu outbreaks. We can only "panic" or "ignore" it.

I really prefer to just keep an eye on it. It continues to be depressing to me that many overreacted to this flu (especially the stupid mainstream media) but it is equally puzzling how so many are just yawning their way through it as if it has no importance at all. The fact is that there are lots of complicated ways H1N1 could get much, much worse all over the planet.

It's odd to see some who are so vigilant in other threads about racism appearing to blithely ignore the southern hemisphere in this thread.



I choose...

FearTheReaper

FearTheReaper

NEWSWIRE

I'm lost

JUL 17, 2009 12:05 PM



Geneva - The World Health Organisation said on Friday that the H1N1 flu pandemic is moving around the globe at an "unprecedented" speed as it stopped giving figures on numbers affected.



The influenza pandemic had "spread internationally with unprecedented speed", according to the global health watchdog.

"In past pandemics, influenza viruses have needed more than six months to spread as widely as the new H1N1 virus has spread in less than six weeks," the WHO said.



Shouldn't be happening in the summer.

Neyrissa

Neyrissa

SUICIDEGIRL

United Kingdom

JUL 17, 2009 12:32 PM

My sister came down with it and was fine after feeling really very shit for a week. She's in a risk group (kidney disease) and was officially tested & monitored but was fine.

Someone in my office is reputed to have it but is over the worst of it after 5 days. She's also apparently immunocompromised.

It's the flu. Deal with it. Yes, 29 official deaths have been reported in the UK but for fuck's sake, more people die in bus accidents than that. I think more people probably die from tripping over the kerb than that. (no I haven't looked up stats on that, I'm pulling it out of the air).

FearTheReaper

FearTheReaper

NEWSWIRE

I'm lost

JUL 17, 2009 12:43 PM

Neyrissa said:
My sister came down with it and was fine after feeling really very shit for a week. She's in a risk group (kidney disease) and was officially tested & monitored but was fine.

Someone in my office is reputed to have it but is over the worst of it after 5 days. She's also apparently immunocompromised.

It's the flu. Deal with it. Yes, 29 official deaths have been reported in the UK but for fuck's sake, more people die in bus accidents than that. I think more people probably die from tripping over the kerb than that. (no I haven't looked up stats on that, I'm pulling it out of the air).



You don't know much about the Swing Flu, do you?

motorfirebox

motorfirebox

Pittsburgh, PA
March 2004

JUL 17, 2009 12:56 PM

FearTheReaper said:
You don't know much about the Swing Flu, do you?


it's related to the Rockin' Pneumonia, isn't it?

FearTheReaper

FearTheReaper

NEWSWIRE

I'm lost

JUL 17, 2009 01:02 PM

motorfirebox said:

FearTheReaper said:
You don't know much about the Swing Flu, do you?


it's related to the Rockin' Pneumonia, isn't it?



At least someone reads.

sick

sick

Minneapolis, MN
June 2003

JUL 17, 2009 01:08 PM

Neyrissa said:
My sister came down with it and was fine after feeling really very shit for a week. She's in a risk group (kidney disease) and was officially tested & monitored but was fine.

Someone in my office is reputed to have it but is over the worst of it after 5 days. She's also apparently immunocompromised.

It's the flu. Deal with it. Yes, 29 official deaths have been reported in the UK but for fuck's sake, more people die in bus accidents than that. I think more people probably die from tripping over the kerb than that. (no I haven't looked up stats on that, I'm pulling it out of the air).



The concern isn't over how many people it's killing right now. The concern is, given the rate at which this strain has spread, and the fact that influenza has an amazing capability for rapid and unexpected change, that it can start killing a lot of people at any time.

Neyrissa

Neyrissa

SUICIDEGIRL

United Kingdom

JUL 17, 2009 01:22 PM

I did 2 years of a Microbiology degree and I'm well accquainted with recombinant viruses, etc, and how dynamic the flu genome is. However, there's nothing we can do about that. No vaccine could cover it, no preventative measures will stop it. (and for fuck's sake people, antibacterial hand gel won't kill a virus)

Normal, seasonal flu is pandemic. So is swine flu. And?

I'm just fed up of the constant panic everywhere about it. I'm also fucking sick of everyone who says they have swine flu when they've got a cold. I loathe people who say "I've got the flu" when they have a cold.

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