- commentary
- SUNDAY DECEMBER 2 2007 9:00 AM
31 Days To Iowa, GOP Style
Submitted by FearTheReaper
Edited by erin_broadley
Tags: Republican Primaries, Iowa, New Hampshire, Huckabee, Romney, Giuliani, McCain, Paul

Thirty-one days until the corn engorged people of Iowa shuffle into voting booths and pick from the saddest field of GOP candidates in a long, long time. Then the insane mountain lunatics from New Hampshire will follow five days later. At that point I expect a name to emerge that will scare the shit out of every sane person in the country: Huckabee.
Huckabee pretty much annihilated the competition in Wednesdays Republican debate, which has led to another bounce. Its not his first bounce, either. He got one from the Ames Straw poll in August and has been rising ever since.
A December 1st poll of Republican voters shows Huckabee pulling ahead in Iowa for the first time. In early October, the same poll had Mitt Romney ahead by 17 percentage points. Shit, Huckabee used to be behind the walking corpse called Fred Thompson. But now the Christian psycho is on a roll.
It doesn't look as good for Huckabee in New Hampshire, where he is sitting in the middle of the pack, but also rising. With 15%, he has his highest support yet in New Hampshire and is way up from the 4% he had in September. Romney is kicking ass in the militia state, while Giuliani and McCain are slipping down. Huckabee should get a big bounce if he wins Iowa and could easily close on Romney.
Giuliani is collapsing into a giant shit heap. He has slipped into third in Iowa with 13% and is tied for second place in New Hampshire with Huckabee and McCain. But in New Hampshire he is trending down. Also, he has some major electability problems in Iowa.
Thirty-four percent of likely caucusgoers see him as one of the worst choices for the Republican nomination.
38 percent have unfavorable feelings toward him.
Those are not good numbers, considering they are coming from his party. Giuliani's new Shag Fund scandal should completely doom him, unless of course, conservatives are okay with a guy having the NYPD pay for his fuck trips, act like a cab for his mistress and her friends around town, drive her to her parents house in Pennsylvania and walk her dog. Yes, he had cops walk his mistress dog. Hes done.
Fred Thompson is fourth in Iowa, but there is no reason to even discuss him.
McCain is pretty screwed as well. Hes sitting in fifth in Iowa with 7% and second in New Hampshire with 15%. With his kind of name recognition he should be doing much better. And contrary to what Ron Pauls insane followers want you to think, he is just a zit on the ass of the Republican field. Paul is tied with McCain for fifth in Iowa and in New Hampshire has a whopping 8%. But that is not the worst news for Paul.
Iowa:
Paul has the highest unfavorable mark in the poll, at 44 percent.
New Hampshire:
Paul is viewed unfavorably by 57% of Likely Republican Primary Voters.
Paul is plowing forward with a lot of cash but Republicans just dont like him. All he has been able to do is catch the already dead McCain in Iowa. Congrats, loser.
But, but, he wins every online....
Shut the fuck up. Ron Paul already lost.
This race is looking like Huckabee and Mitt Romney. Mitt has decent numbers in Iowa and fantastic numbers in New Hampshire. Much of that is due to the fact that Romney has completely out spent his fellow candidates in the two states.
Unfortunately, he is now slipping in Iowa and has dropped five points since October to 24% as of last week. But in New Hampshire, Romney is a Mormon freight train.
In New Hampshires Republican Presidential Primary, the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 34% support and a nineteen-point lead. Making the most of his home field advantage, Romney has steadily increased his lead from fifteen points earlier in November, nine-points in October and three-points in September.
You go, girl.
The key fact in this mess is that Huckabee hasnt been spending money. Hes been doing it all with a grass roots following, public appearances and through debates. Now that Huckabee is ahead in Iowa, expect him to get a massive infusion of cash and become a serious contender for president. Right now he has the best chance. Scary.




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Comments
Heigai
Columbus, OH
May 2004
DEC 04, 2007 02:27 AM
mingol
Singapore
July 2005
DEC 04, 2007 05:12 AM
Uncognitive
Brooklyn, NY
May 2003
DEC 04, 2007 07:05 AM
SockPuppet
I'm lost
July 2006
DEC 04, 2007 02:53 PM
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