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  • SUNDAY DECEMBER 2 2007 9:00 AM

31 Days To Iowa, GOP Style



Thirty-one days until the corn engorged people of Iowa shuffle into voting booths and pick from the saddest field of GOP candidates in a long, long time. Then the insane mountain lunatics from New Hampshire will follow five days later. At that point I expect a name to emerge that will scare the shit out of every sane person in the country: Huckabee.

Huckabee pretty much annihilated the competition in Wednesday’s Republican debate, which has led to another bounce. It’s not his first bounce, either. He got one from the Ames Straw poll in August and has been rising ever since.

A December 1st poll of Republican voters shows Huckabee pulling ahead in Iowa for the first time. In early October, the same poll had Mitt Romney ahead by 17 percentage points. Shit, Huckabee used to be behind the walking corpse called Fred Thompson. But now the Christian psycho is on a roll.

It doesn't look as good for Huckabee in New Hampshire, where he is sitting in the middle of the pack, but also rising. With 15%, he has his highest support yet in New Hampshire and is way up from the 4% he had in September. Romney is kicking ass in the militia state, while Giuliani and McCain are slipping down. Huckabee should get a big bounce if he wins Iowa and could easily close on Romney.

Giuliani is collapsing into a giant shit heap. He has slipped into third in Iowa with 13% and is tied for second place in New Hampshire with Huckabee and McCain. But in New Hampshire he is trending down. Also, he has some major electability problems in Iowa.


Thirty-four percent of likely caucusgoers see him as one of the worst choices for the Republican nomination.


38 percent have unfavorable feelings toward him.


Those are not good numbers, considering they are coming from his party. Giuliani's new Shag Fund scandal should completely doom him, unless of course, conservatives are okay with a guy having the NYPD pay for his fuck trips, act like a cab for his mistress and her friends around town, drive her to her parents house in Pennsylvania and walk her dog. Yes, he had cops walk his mistress’ dog. He’s done.

Fred Thompson is fourth in Iowa, but there is no reason to even discuss him.

McCain is pretty screwed as well. He’s sitting in fifth in Iowa with 7% and second in New Hampshire with 15%. With his kind of name recognition he should be doing much better. And contrary to what Ron Paul’s insane followers want you to think, he is just a zit on the ass of the Republican field. Paul is tied with McCain for fifth in Iowa and in New Hampshire has a whopping 8%. But that is not the worst news for Paul.

Iowa:


Paul has the highest unfavorable mark in the poll, at 44 percent.


New Hampshire:


Paul is viewed unfavorably by 57% of Likely Republican Primary Voters.


Paul is plowing forward with a lot of cash but Republicans just don’t like him. All he has been able to do is catch the already dead McCain in Iowa. Congrats, loser.


But, but, he wins every online....


Shut the fuck up. Ron Paul already lost.

This race is looking like Huckabee and Mitt Romney. Mitt has decent numbers in Iowa and fantastic numbers in New Hampshire. Much of that is due to the fact that Romney has completely out spent his fellow candidates in the two states.

Unfortunately, he is now slipping in Iowa and has dropped five points since October to 24% as of last week. But in New Hampshire, Romney is a Mormon freight train.


In New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary, the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 34% support and a nineteen-point lead. Making the most of his home field advantage, Romney has steadily increased his lead from fifteen points earlier in November, nine-points in October and three-points in September.


You go, girl.

The key fact in this mess is that Huckabee hasn’t been spending money. He’s been doing it all with a grass roots following, public appearances and through debates. Now that Huckabee is ahead in Iowa, expect him to get a massive infusion of cash and become a serious contender for president. Right now he has the best chance. Scary.

 

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Comments
Zarth

zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

DEC 02, 2007 09:23 AM

Well, he was endorsed by Chuck Norris, after all.

I could certainly be wrong, but I don't think Huckabee has a realistic chance of winning in the general. He's the darling of the Religious Right, and they've been losing traction among mainstream voters for awhile, now. He strikes me as the Republican equivalent of Mondale.

Coyotemike

Coyotemike

USA
May 2006

DEC 02, 2007 09:40 AM

Wow. This really shows how poitical races are no longer (nor have they been for a very long time) about choosing the best in the field, but about choosing the least of all evils. Lets see, do we want:

1 A rich man with no connection to the majority of America

2. A religious nut who will want to force us all into gov't sanctioned churches

3. A corrupt adulterer

4. A racist, anti-abortion "doctor" who seems to want to undo the decisions of the Civil War.

Or two more canidates that have run out of gas.

I pity the Republicans on their lack of choices.

Obama '08!!!

Zarth

zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

DEC 02, 2007 09:48 AM

coyotemike said:
Wow. This really shows how poitical races are no longer (nor have they ever been) about choosing the best in the field, but about choosing the least of all evils. Lets see, do we want:

1 A rich man with no connection to the majority of America

2. A religious nut who will want to force us all into gov't sanctioned churches

3. A corrupt adulterer

4. A racist, anti-abortion "doctor" who seems to want to undo the decisions of the Civil War.

Or two more canidates that have run out of gas.

I pity the Republicans on their lack of choices.

Obama '08!!!


Fixed.

Most presidential races in American history haven't been much better. Some have, of course, but many have been worse. Idealization of the past is no way forward.

Red_Russian13

Red_Russian13

Dayton, OH
February 2004

DEC 02, 2007 09:57 AM

Zarth said:
Well, he was endorsed by Chuck Norris, after all.

I could certainly be wrong, but I don't think Huckabee has a realistic chance of winning in the general. He's the darling of the Religious Right, and they've been losing traction among mainstream voters for awhile, now. He strikes me as the Republican equivalent of Mondale.



I actually agree with you; I don't think he can be elected, despite Chuck endorsing him. But Chuck's pretty religious too, so...

Red_Russian13

Red_Russian13

Dayton, OH
February 2004

DEC 02, 2007 09:59 AM

coyotemike said:


I pity the Republicans on their lack of choices.



I pity America on it's lack of choices.

checkeredbob

checkeredbob

Wilmington, DE
January 2007

DEC 02, 2007 10:03 AM

We need a NO CONFIDENCE button and if WE the People decide none of the candidates are worthy the process should have to start over.......

DownNeck

DownNeck

Jersey City, NJ
March 2006

DEC 02, 2007 10:04 AM

Red_Russian13 said:

coyotemike said:


I pity the Republicans on their lack of choices.



I pity America on it's lack of choices.



for serious

checkeredbob

checkeredbob

Wilmington, DE
January 2007

DEC 02, 2007 10:04 AM

Red_Russian13 said:

coyotemike said:


I pity the Republicans on their lack of choices.



I pity America on it's lack of choices.



Varuka_Salt

Varuka_Salt

I'm lost
October 2006

DEC 02, 2007 10:05 AM



If you just give 'ol Chucky a shave......
Separated at birth?

checkeredbob

checkeredbob

Wilmington, DE
January 2007

DEC 02, 2007 10:05 AM

as if there is a legitimate democratic candidate? Hillary and Osama ...... Yeah Right!

Holden_Caulfield

Holden_Caulfield

Ann Arbor, MI
April 2004

DEC 02, 2007 10:09 AM

coyotemike said:
Obama '08!!!


Yes please. smile

xazapdmytinu

xazapdmytinu

Fort Collins, CO
July 2007

DEC 02, 2007 10:16 AM

well, that lady in yesterday's AFR ought to be happy...Huckabee is ahead in the GOP and Hilary is behind in the Dems...

I hope he chooses Walker as his running mate...instead of shooting his friends he'll...aw nevermind, the roundhouse kick is played out.

Zarth

zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

DEC 02, 2007 10:19 AM

checkeredbob said:
as if there is a legitimate democratic candidate? Hillary and Osama ...... Yeah Right!


Zarth

zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

DEC 02, 2007 10:22 AM

Red_Russian13 said:

Zarth said:
Well, he was endorsed by Chuck Norris, after all.

I could certainly be wrong, but I don't think Huckabee has a realistic chance of winning in the general. He's the darling of the Religious Right, and they've been losing traction among mainstream voters for awhile, now. He strikes me as the Republican equivalent of Mondale.


I actually agree with you; I don't think he can be elected, despite Chuck endorsing him. But Chuck's pretty religious too, so...


He is.

And I'm not that surprised we agree - SG's membership is generally left-leaning (though there are a good deal more conservatives on here than are vocal), but even the conservatives who are here aren't very likely to be of the sodomy-obsessed, thunder-and-hellfire type.

FearTheReaper

FearTheReaper

NEWSWIRE

I'm lost

DEC 02, 2007 10:26 AM

checkeredbob said:
as if there is a legitimate democratic candidate? Hillary and Osama ...... Yeah Right!



As if that is even remotely the point of this piece. And if that is all you've got, dear God...

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