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One of the big arguments for the pro-war crowd is that we just can’t leave those Iraqis alone after invading and setting off a world of chaos. They believe that if we were to leave Iraq, the country would immediately fall apart and many people would be killed. They, of course, never address the fact that people in Iraq are dying all the time and our presence seems to be doing little to stop the violence and some have even argued that a US presence actually encourages violence because our favoritism creates more tension. I agree with the latter.

Now comes some interesting evidence that maybe the “lets keep the troop in Iraq forever” crowd is completely wrong. In September, British troops pulled out of Basra and moved to an airport near the city. Some may find the results surprising, I don’t because it makes complete sense.


Attacks against British and Iraqi forces have plunged by 90 percent in southern Iraq since London withdrew its troops from the main city of Basra, the commander of British forces there said Thursday.

The presence of British forces in downtown Basra, Iraq's second-largest city, was the single largest instigator of violence, Maj. Gen. Graham Binns told reporters.

"We thought, 'If 90 percent of the violence is directed at us, what would happen if we stepped back?'" Binns said.


Well, there you go. The British believed – and have been proven right – that having their troops patrolling only caused more violence because people were trying to kill them. They theorized that if you took out the guys everyone was trying to kill, then less people would try to attack. Pretty simple.

Iraqis now patrol the center of the city and the British rarely enter. The situation is much different in Baghdad because Basra is a Shiite city, while Baghdad is a mix of Sunni and Shiite, who have been fighting for centuries. Pulling troops out might not have the same effect as in Basra, although even the British have been surprised at the incredible drop in violence.


British officials expected a spike in such "intra-militia violence" after they pulled back from the city's center, and were surprised to find none.


The British have been in talks with the most powerful Militia in Basra, the Sadr militia, in an attempt to lure them into being part of the political process. They hope, in the end, that the militia will support the Iraqi security forces.

In other parts of the country, the US has backed the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq over Sadr, even though Sadr has stronger support among the Shiite masses. The ISCI has been losing support due to its ties with the US government and Iran, as well as a reputation for being corrupt and employing death squads. Basically, the US backed the wrong horse and the British example is the way to go for peace. But it is not surprising because the ISCI represents upper class Shiites, while Sadr represents the lower class. We know who the US always chooses in that situation.


As long as the U.S. remains in Iraq, its alliance with ISCI will help entrench the party in the country’s governing, security and intelligence institutions. Its only true challenger remains the Sadr militia, which despite its ruffian credentials and bloody role in sectarian reprisals enjoys broad support among Shiite masses. Their rivalry now takes the form of a class struggle between the Shiite merchant elite of Baghdad and the holy cities, represented by ISCI and the Shiite urban underclass.

This struggle, more than the sectarian conflict or confrontation between Anbari sheikhs and al-Qaeda in Iraq fighters, is likely to shape the country’s future. The most plausible scenario is a protracted struggle for power between these two movements, marked perhaps by temporary alliances, such as is presently in force.


Unlike the British, we have selectively chosen the weakest and least popular of the two forces. In the end, it simply won’t work. The best solution would be to engage both Shiite groups, instead of picking a side. The worst solution is to back the group that does not have the support of the street and create even more resentment between the organizations. Right now the two forces have called a truce to fight the surge.

Of course, none of this takes into account the Sunnis, which the US has been arming to fight al Qaeda. That is also pissing off the Shiites. Each day our policies are creating more and more tension and anger and we are throwing extra weapons in as a bonus. Ugh. Acceptance and negotiation or willful ignorance with force? It sounds like we have taken a completely different approach than the British.

 

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Chainlink

Chainlink

Christmas Island
August 2005

NOV 20, 2007 05:17 PM

Zarth said:

Chainlink said:
Edit : Shit, that Zarth dude is fast.


Great, broadcast it on the internet, why don't you? I said it never happened to me before.

If you'd just give me another chance . . .



Well, you've got to exercise it just like any other muscle.

SPOILERS! (Click to view)
Your mind that is. Exercise your mind.

Thats all I've got. perv.

Zarth

Zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

NOV 20, 2007 05:20 PM

Chainlink said:

CyberEdZ said:
Well, actually Germany was our enemy - .


Yeah, you're welcome btw.


He's full of it there, anyway. Hitler was everybody's enemy but Hitler's, and that last part is debatable.

The United States was providing material support (that's military supplies, not fizzy sugar water) to Great Britain in March of 1941, China in April, and the Soviet Union in June. That's a bit before Pearl Harbor.

And not exactly neutral, especially considering that this was back in the days before the "Unitary Executive" theory, when a President actually had to go to Congress in order to commit troops against a sovereign nation.

SockPuppet

SockPuppet

I'm lost
July 2006

NOV 20, 2007 05:26 PM

Zarth said:

KUNGFOO said:

trapper said:
Do you know how many service men and woman died for your freedom ? I can't believe you would say such a thing.


Come on. Enough of this "I support the troops" bullshit. It's a cop-out of a legitimate discussion and speaking as somebody who has served on active duty for 8 years, it's complete bullshit. I'm so sick of the "soldiers died for your freedom"; it's been diluted to nothing more than a catch-phrase. What about the journalist who died in a war zone, to bring the atrocities to light? Didn't that person contribute just as much as the troops who died during WWII defending America and Europe from fascism? What about the aid workers who have died caring for the oppressed and the poor. Yet, most people who spout the "support our troops" rhetoric would be the same type to mock such people.

To blanket such the members of such a vast organization as the US military as simply bad or good is foolish.


Well put.


Indeed.

Chainlink

Chainlink

Christmas Island
August 2005

NOV 20, 2007 05:26 PM

Zarth said:

Chainlink said:

CyberEdZ said:
Well, actually Germany was our enemy - .


Yeah, you're welcome btw.


He's full of it there, anyway. Hitler was everybody's enemy but Hitler's, and that last part is debatable.

The United States was providing material support (that's military supplies, not fizzy sugar water) to Great Britain in March of 1941, China in April, and the Soviet Union in June. That's a bit before Pearl Harbor.

And not exactly neutral, especially considering that this was back in the days before the "Unitary Executive" theory, when a President actually had to go to Congress in order to commit troops against a sovereign nation.



I had read that the Neutrality Act in 1939 started the U.S. sending "arms and other aid" to Britain and France.
But yeah, I wanted to retort with some things about giving Germany Coke ads and syrup while we gave Britain weapons and millions but decided Fanta and Volkswagens were totally worth it and I'd just go easy on him.

SockPuppet

SockPuppet

I'm lost
July 2006

NOV 20, 2007 05:39 PM

Zarth said:

CyberEdZ said:
Was the 'bigot' remark referring to me ??


Yes.

CyberEdZ said:
If so, an explanation of why would be an interesting read. Ever read the Universal Islamic Declaration of Human Rights ?? Noticed the not-so-subtle variances 'twixt it and the UN's (Judaeo-Christian) version ??


No, and I couldn't care less about it. Do you actually know any Muslims? I do. Pretty much all of them are upright citizens who work hard, pay their taxes, and vote. Like any other American. In fact, they tend to be a lot less heavy-handed about their religion than the Christians I know, and a lot of them are more politically and even socially liberal.

Now, that's anecdotal, obviously. And it doesn't address countries outside the United States (though, to my certain knowledge, there are major politically liberal movements in many Islamic countries - they're being cracked down on in Pakistan by the secular military authorities even now). But you said "Islam" itself is "incompatible" with "human rights." The fact that I know any Muslims who don't feel their religion is incompatible with human rights is enough to disprove your blanket statement.

Which was, by the way, bigoted.



I am not seeing your point here.

photoline

photoline

Edmonton, AB
January 2005

NOV 20, 2007 05:41 PM

The "Coalition of the Willing" perpetrated the Iraq war, not the insurgents. Remove the coalition, and you remove the reason for insurgency.

Zarth

Zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

NOV 20, 2007 06:04 PM

photoline said:
The "Coalition of the Willing" perpetrated the Iraq war, not the insurgents. Remove the coalition, and you remove the reason for insurgency.


That's oversimplistic. If and when the Coalition withdraws, if it leaves a power vacuum with hostile sectarian contenders, the conflict will continue.

photoline

photoline

Edmonton, AB
January 2005

NOV 20, 2007 06:07 PM

Zarth said:

photoline said:
The "Coalition of the Willing" perpetrated the Iraq war, not the insurgents. Remove the coalition, and you remove the reason for insurgency.


That's oversimplistic. If and when the Coalition withdraws, if it leaves a power vacuum with hostile sectarian contenders, the conflict will continue.



Attacks against British and Iraqi forces have plunged by 90 percent in southern Iraq since London withdrew its troops from the main city of Basra, the commander of British forces there said Thursday.



I think that supports my point.

The USA could always leave behind some CIA and Special OPs people, just like there were before April 2003.

Zarth

Zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

NOV 20, 2007 06:13 PM

photoline said:

Zarth said:

photoline said:
The "Coalition of the Willing" perpetrated the Iraq war, not the insurgents. Remove the coalition, and you remove the reason for insurgency.


That's oversimplistic. If and when the Coalition withdraws, if it leaves a power vacuum with hostile sectarian contenders, the conflict will continue.



Attacks against British and Iraqi forces have plunged by 90 percent in southern Iraq since London withdrew its troops from the main city of Basra, the commander of British forces there said Thursday.



Do you want to take on the Commander of the British Forces?


Treating Iraq as if its a homogeneous nationstate is the same mistake the neocons made in the invasion, and the same mistake the British made cobbling the damn country together in the first place.

So, to answer your question, sure, I'll dispute that that statement could be taken as applying to all Iraq.

CyberEdZ

CyberEdZ

United Kingdom
January 2005

NOV 20, 2007 06:13 PM

SockPuppet said:

Zarth said:

CyberEdZ said:
Was the 'bigot' remark referring to me ??


Yes.

CyberEdZ said:
If so, an explanation of why would be an interesting read. Ever read the Universal Islamic Declaration of Human Rights ?? Noticed the not-so-subtle variances 'twixt it and the UN's (Judaeo-Christian) version ??


No, and I couldn't care less about it. Do you actually know any Muslims? I do. Pretty much all of them are upright citizens who work hard, pay their taxes, and vote. Like any other American. In fact, they tend to be a lot less heavy-handed about their religion than the Christians I know, and a lot of them are more politically and even socially liberal.

Now, that's anecdotal, obviously. And it doesn't address countries outside the United States (though, to my certain knowledge, there are major politically liberal movements in many Islamic countries - they're being cracked down on in Pakistan by the secular military authorities even now). But you said "Islam" itself is "incompatible" with "human rights." The fact that I know any Muslims who don't feel their religion is incompatible with human rights is enough to disprove your blanket statement.

Which was, by the way, bigoted.



I am not seeing your point here.


Funnily enough, neither do I.

Yes, I know many muslims (mera nam Eddie hey). I've also travelled to muslim countries, and debated political theory and theology with imams and lay muslims alike. I didn't start out believing Islam was incompatible with Western democracy - few fresh faced political students do. I came to that conclusion after years of study and reflection.

I also did not say that Islam was incompatible with human rights - I said it was incompatible with a Universal Declaration on said, as evidenced by the Cairo declaration I referred to above (aka the Universal Islamic Declaration of Human Rights), as well as Western democracy. Such democracies hold freedom of speech as sacrosanct - you might have missed the whole Satanic Verses thing, or the more recent furore regarding cartoons of the Prophet published in a Danish newspaper (the Jyllands-Posten), but we certainly didn't. Sharia law doles out punishments that even the most ardent pro-death sentence American would baulk at. Which you might know if you'd ever read the Holy Qur'an. Which, incidentally, I have. Have you ??

Zarth said:

Chainlink said:

CyberEdZ said:
Well, actually Germany was our enemy - .


Yeah, you're welcome btw.


He's full of it there, anyway. Hitler was everybody's enemy but Hitler's, and that last part is debatable.

The United States was providing material support (that's military supplies, not fizzy sugar water) to Great Britain in March of 1941, China in April, and the Soviet Union in June. That's a bit before Pearl Harbor.

And not exactly neutral, especially considering that this was back in the days before the "Unitary Executive" theory, when a President actually had to go to Congress in order to commit troops against a sovereign nation.


Did you declare war on him in 1941 ?? No. Can he therefore be called in any reasonable definition of the word your 'enemy' at that point ?? No. Care to retort ??

As ever, you tend to miss the point. No-one on this side of the Atlantic is unaware of the sacrifice in blood paid by US service men and women to liberate Europe from the clutches of Nazism and Fascism. It's taught to us in our schools, in TV documentaries such as The World At War and by our forebears - we don't need fictional Hollywood blockbusters to tell us (yes, I'm implying you do). We are also aware, however, that despite the strenuous efforts of European leaders such as Churchill and De Gaulle the US remained physically out of the war until dragged into it by the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. Untrue ??

CyberEdZ

CyberEdZ

United Kingdom
January 2005

NOV 20, 2007 06:23 PM

Zarth said:

photoline said:

Zarth said:

photoline said:
The "Coalition of the Willing" perpetrated the Iraq war, not the insurgents. Remove the coalition, and you remove the reason for insurgency.


That's oversimplistic. If and when the Coalition withdraws, if it leaves a power vacuum with hostile sectarian contenders, the conflict will continue.


Attacks against British and Iraqi forces have plunged by 90 percent in southern Iraq since London withdrew its troops from the main city of Basra, the commander of British forces there said Thursday.


Do you want to take on the Commander of the British Forces?


Thinking that Iraq is the same in every location is the same mistake the neocons made, and the same mistake you guys made cobbling the damn country together in the first place. So, sure.


I don't remember the Canadians having much to do with the 'cobbling together' of Iraq. Oh, you've seen your error. Pity I spotted it before you had a chance to correct it, eh ??

And I believe photoline's argument is that the insurgency would end when the occupation did. No mention of a cessation of hostilities, just of the insurgency. It may indeed be replaced by a civil war, but that does not negate the validity of his argument. Perhaps in future you could stick to arguing about what we actually write, rather than what you think we did.

Zarth

Zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

NOV 20, 2007 06:31 PM

CyberEdZ said:
I don't remember the Canadians having much to do with the 'cobbling together' of Iraq. Oh, you've seen your error. Pity I spotted it before you had a chance to correct it, eh ??


Yeah. I'm so mortified.

CyberEdZ said:
And I believe photoline's argument is that the insurgency would end when the occupation did. No mention of a cessation of hostilities, just of the insurgency. It may indeed be replaced by a civil war, but that does not negate the validity of his argument. Perhaps in future you could stick to arguing about what we actually write, rather than what you think we did.


That's just semantic quibbling, and you know it. Going by your interpretation, what he said would actually have been entirely meaningless.

RudieCantFail

RudieCantFail

Intercourse, PA
January 2006

NOV 20, 2007 06:39 PM

CyberEdZ said:
...we don't need fictional Hollywood blockbusters to tell us (yes, I'm implying you do).



Then you're sorely mistaken. American students are taught about the Second World War in our schools. We also have television programs and museums as you do which teach us about the conflict. We also have grandparents who served in the military during the time, as well as survivors of the Holocaust who relay to their descendants the horrors and the triumphs of that conflict.

I'll concede that the Second World War didn't affect the American civilian populace as deeply as it did the British, as we were not subjected to physical attack as the UK was (though that fear was omni-present in the American psyche at the time). However to say the American populace is ignorant of the sacrifices made in World War II, of both our troops as well as the other Allies, is a fallacy, and I'll kindly thank you to get down from your high horse.

CyberEdZ

CyberEdZ

United Kingdom
January 2005

NOV 20, 2007 06:46 PM

RudieCantFail said:

CyberEdZ said:
...we don't need fictional Hollywood blockbusters to tell us (yes, I'm implying you do).



Then you're sorely mistaken. American students are taught about the Second World War in our schools. We also have television programs and museums as you do which teach us about the conflict. We also have grandparents who served in the military during the time, as well as survivors of the Holocaust who relay to their descendants the horrors and the triumphs of that conflict.

I'll concede that the Second World War didn't affect the American civilian populace as deeply as it did the British, as we were not subjected to physical attack as the UK was (though that fear was omni-present in the American psyche at the time). However to say the American populace is ignorant of the sacrifices made in World War II, of both our troops as well as the other Allies, is a fallacy, and I'll kindly thank you to get down from your high horse.


Really ?? Hmm. I was merely going by the word of my friends Emily (a US teacher with whom I shared a flat in Prague) and Gita - neither of them put much store in the history lessons taught in the schools they attended, and it was their assertion that most Americans learn such things from the movies. I guess you must have enjoyed a better education than them, eh ??

Zarth

Zarth

Seattle, WA
December 2004

NOV 20, 2007 06:51 PM

CyberEdZ said:
Yes, I know many muslims (mera nam Eddie hey). I've also travelled to muslim countries, and debated political theory and theology with imams and lay muslims alike. I didn't start out believing Islam was incompatible with Western democracy - few fresh faced political students do. I came to that conclusion after years of study and reflection.


You think you should get credit because you had to study to become bigoted?

CyberEdZ said:
I also did not say that Islam was incompatible with human rights - I said it was incompatible with a Universal Declaration on said, as evidenced by the Cairo declaration I referred to above (aka the Universal Islamic Declaration of Human Rights)


That's not in any way a meaningful distinction. What distinguishes "human rights" is universality.

The UN declaration therefore claims to represent humanity as a whole. Whether or not the Cairo declaration represents anybody is a matter of you define as speaking for "Islam." There are plenty of Muslims who hold your view that their religion is incompatible with the UN declaration. There are plenty of Christians and Communists and Fascists and adherents of countless other ideologies who believe the same. But Islam is not an ideology, it's a religion.

CyberEdZ said:
. . . as well as Western democracy. Such democracies hold freedom of speech as sacrosanct - you might have missed the whole Satanic Verses thing, or the more recent furore regarding cartoons of the Prophet published in a Danish newspaper (the Jyllands-Posten), but we certainly didn't. Sharia law doles out punishments that even the most ardent pro-death sentence American would baulk at. Which you might know if you'd ever read the Holy Qur'an. Which, incidentally, I have. Have you ??


Yes. I've also read the Bible. It's no prettier. If you take it as a model for a political constitution, it's barbaric. But that's not what defines a believer in a religion.

CyberEdZ said:
Did you declare war on him in 1941 ?? No. Can he therefore be called in any reasonable definition of the word your 'enemy' at that point ?? No. Care to retort ??


Retort to what? All you've proven is your ability to confine the "reasonable definition of the word 'enemy'" so as not to include someone who intends to destroy you.

And we did declare war on Germany in 1941, actually.

CyberEdZ said:
As ever, you tend to miss the point.


Wow, you must know me pretty well. Quite an achievement for somebody I've never heard of before tonight. You must be some kind of genius.

CyberEdZ said:
No-one on this side of the Atlantic is unaware of the sacrifice in blood paid by US service men and women to liberate Europe from the clutches of Nazism and Fascism. It's taught to us in our schools, in TV documentaries such as The World At War and by our forebears - we don't need fictional Hollywood blockbusters to tell us (yes, I'm implying you do).


Yeah, thanks. Being a stupid American I might have otherwise missed all your other jibes at stupid Americans.

CyberEdZ said:
We are also aware, however, that despite the strenuous efforts of European leaders such as Churchill and De Gaulle the US remained physically out of the war until dragged into it by the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. Untrue ??


What's your point? Wait, nevermind, actually. I failed at caring.

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