Oscar Nomination Prediction

The Academy Award "Oscar" nominations are announced tomorrow (go ahead and post your "who cares?").

The HSX stock option prices are usually a good predictor of who will be nominated and later who will win.

These are the most likely nominees for the major categories according to hsx:

Best Picture
Babel
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine
The Departed
The Queen

Best Director
Bill Condon - Dreamgirls
Clint Eastwood - Letters From Iwo Jima
Stephen Frears - The Queen
Alejandro Gonzales Inarritu - Babel
Martin Scorsese - The Departed

Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Departed
Ryan Gosling - Half Nelson
Peter O'Toole - Venus
Will Smith - The Pursuit Of Happyness
Forest Whitaker - The Last King Of Scotland

Best Actress
Penelope Cruz - Volver
Judi Dench - Notes On A Scandal
Helen Mirren - The Queen
Meryl Streep - The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet - Little Children

Best Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin - Little Miss Sunshine
Jackie Earle Haley - Little Children
Djimon Hounsou - Blood Diamond
Eddie Murphy - Dreamgirls
Jack Nicholson - The Departed

Best Supporting Actress
Adriana Barraza - Babel
Cate Blanchett - Notes On A Scandal
Abigail Breslin - Little Miss Sunshine
Jennifer Hudson - Dreamgirls
Rinko Kikuchi - Babel

I've seen none of those movies. Haven't even heard of some of them! I think that's a first for me, I almost hope that's what actually happens.

I've only seen Little Miss Sunshine. I really liked it. I hope it wins several awards.

The Departed was outstanding.

That is pretty freaking incredible. All of the predictions were correct except Mark Wahlberg got the Best Supporting Actor nomination instead of Jack Nicholson (yea!). And United 93 Paul Greengrass got nominated for Best Directing instead of Bill Condon for Dreamgirls.

And Letters From Iwo Jima for Best Picture instead of Dreamgirls.