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petepolly

petepolly

Antarctica
August 2008

OCT 19, 2008 03:50 PM

Adroitbeing said:

Toku666 said:
If you're that interested in other people discussing here, your worthless, snide one-line posts would not be appearing.

You're not some "local hero" holding his own against all comers. At this point, you were the one that dredged this thread up long after TFOK had clearly washed his hands of it. YOU are the one beating the dead horse.



That was my point, thank you Toku666. If petepolly's comments had a purpose beyond inciting conflict while displaying ignorance, I too would participate with FoK. But that is clearly not the case.



I cite facts like that more than 150 academic economists signed a letter against the bailout,

and the problems with the honesty of the Bush administration that you are all aware of,

and the fact that the Treasury Secretary who proposed this bailout might as well be in the pocket of wall street,

and the fact that the congressmen that voted for the bailout were getting 150% on average the donations from wall street and the banking industry that those who voted against were.

Then you say that your point is to call me ignorant and assert I do nothing but incite conflict, , ,

whatever

FearTheReaper

FearTheReaper

NEWSWIRE

I'm lost

OCT 19, 2008 05:09 PM

petepolly said:

Adroitbeing said:

Toku666 said:
If you're that interested in other people discussing here, your worthless, snide one-line posts would not be appearing.

You're not some "local hero" holding his own against all comers. At this point, you were the one that dredged this thread up long after TFOK had clearly washed his hands of it. YOU are the one beating the dead horse.



That was my point, thank you Toku666. If petepolly's comments had a purpose beyond inciting conflict while displaying ignorance, I too would participate with FoK. But that is clearly not the case.



I cite facts like that more than 150 academic economists signed a letter against the bailout,

and the problems with the honesty of the Bush administration that you are all aware of,

and the fact that the Treasury Secretary who proposed this bailout might as well be in the pocket of wall street,

and the fact that the congressmen that voted for the bailout were getting 150% on average the donations from wall street and the banking industry that those who voted against were.

Then you say that your point is to call me ignorant and assert I do nothing but incite conflict, , ,

whatever



That is pretty much all you do.

Coyotemike

Coyotemike

USA
May 2006

OCT 19, 2008 06:25 PM

I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused

Varuka_Salt

Varuka_Salt

I'm lost
October 2006

OCT 19, 2008 06:33 PM

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused



A shitton more than in Antarctica, I reckon.

TheFuckOffKid

TheFuckOffKid

NEWSWIRE

Australia

OCT 19, 2008 07:05 PM

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused


Not the issue. What petepolly posted -- in another thread -- was not a fringe group of extremists, but a cross-section of eminent people expressing concern about the initial bail-out proposal.

I even thanked him for posting it.

There's no doubt that many people who felt some kind of major intervention was needed were unhappy with Paulson's proposals. (The man has come off looking incompetent, not that that's anything new from senior people in the Bush administration.) Some wanted to say that they opposed the proposal on offer. Good for them.

If that's pollypanda's biggest contribution to the discourse, well, that's another matter.

petepolly

petepolly

Antarctica
August 2008

OCT 19, 2008 07:12 PM

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused



I am not sure, but your pal TheFuckOffKid had this to say about it




Thank you pete, one of your best posts ever.

There are some serious heavy-hitting names in there.



Look at the cite, he did say it.

Then he later got mad at me because I am not into credentials (especially not credentials that he claims to have that cannot be verified) and do not agree with some of his positions. Also he seemed pissed off that I know damn well that on those issues no consensus exists among academic economists. As a result he was reduced to sarcastic name calling about the academic economists I cited, and thinks that the whole world should agree that his side of some disputes in academic economics are obviously right. Which my take is that that is a really silly position to take.

You don't like me, fine, so what. That does not prove I am wrong on anything.

skeptik

skeptik

New Orleans, LA
February 2004

OCT 19, 2008 07:15 PM

TheFuckOffKid said:

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused


Not the issue. What petepolly posted -- in another thread -- was not a fringe group of extremists, but a cross-section of eminent people expressing concern about the initial bail-out proposal.

I even thanked him for posting it.

There's no doubt that many people who felt some kind of major intervention was needed were unhappy with Paulson's proposals. (The man has come off looking incompetent, not that that's anything new from senior people in the Bush administration.) Some wanted to say that they opposed the proposal on offer. Good for them.

If that's pollypanda's biggest contribution to the discourse, well, that's another matter.



And, as was also pointed out in that other thread, the bailout proposal that those 150 economists opposed was the first one. You know, the three-page, "give me the money and trust me" proposal that never even made it out of Bush's invitational conference.

They may still oppose the one that actually passed, but we don't know.

Coyotemike

Coyotemike

USA
May 2006

OCT 19, 2008 07:17 PM

TheFuckOffKid said:

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused


Not the issue. What petepolly posted -- in another thread -- was not a fringe group of extremists, but a cross-section of eminent people expressing concern about the initial bail-out proposal.

I even thanked him for posting it.

There's no doubt that many people who felt some kind of major intervention was needed were unhappy with Paulson's proposals. (The man has come off looking incompetent, not that that's anything new from senior people in the Bush administration.) Some wanted to say that they opposed the proposal on offer. Good for them.

If that's pollypanda's biggest contribution to the discourse, well, that's another matter.



I was commenting more on the number of academics, which seems to be more a part of the panda's argument than what they said.

petepolly

petepolly

Antarctica
August 2008

OCT 19, 2008 07:51 PM

skeptik said:

TheFuckOffKid said:

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused


Not the issue. What petepolly posted -- in another thread -- was not a fringe group of extremists, but a cross-section of eminent people expressing concern about the initial bail-out proposal.

I even thanked him for posting it.

There's no doubt that many people who felt some kind of major intervention was needed were unhappy with Paulson's proposals. (The man has come off looking incompetent, not that that's anything new from senior people in the Bush administration.) Some wanted to say that they opposed the proposal on offer. Good for them.

If that's pollypanda's biggest contribution to the discourse, well, that's another matter.



And, as was also pointed out in that other thread, the bailout proposal that those 150 economists opposed was the first one. You know, the three-page, "give me the money and trust me" proposal that never even made it out of Bush's invitational conference.

They may still oppose the one that actually passed, but we don't know.




My take is that unless they explicitly say so, it is safer to assume they had not.

If several doctors tell you not do say lift over 50 pounds or you may have a heart attack, and you think that putting a weight lifting belt on first will make a big difference, I would check with the docs again before trying it.

TheFuckOffKid

TheFuckOffKid

NEWSWIRE

Australia

OCT 19, 2008 08:02 PM

skeptik said:

TheFuckOffKid said:

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused


Not the issue. What petepolly posted -- in another thread -- was not a fringe group of extremists, but a cross-section of eminent people expressing concern about the initial bail-out proposal.

I even thanked him for posting it.

There's no doubt that many people who felt some kind of major intervention was needed were unhappy with Paulson's proposals. (The man has come off looking incompetent, not that that's anything new from senior people in the Bush administration.) Some wanted to say that they opposed the proposal on offer. Good for them.

If that's pollypanda's biggest contribution to the discourse, well, that's another matter.



And, as was also pointed out in that other thread, the bailout proposal that those 150 economists opposed was the first one. You know, the three-page, "give me the money and trust me" proposal that never even made it out of Bush's invitational conference.

They may still oppose the one that actually passed, but we don't know.


Yep.

TheFuckOffKid

TheFuckOffKid

NEWSWIRE

Australia

OCT 19, 2008 08:15 PM

petepolly said:
I am not sure, but your pal TheFuckOffKid had this to say about it



Thank you pete, one of your best posts ever.



Look at the cite, he did say it.


I did. It wasn't a high hurdle for you to jump, of course.

petepolly

petepolly

Antarctica
August 2008

OCT 19, 2008 08:47 PM

TheFuckOffKid said:

petepolly said:
I am not sure, but your pal TheFuckOffKid had this to say about it



Thank you pete, one of your best posts ever.



Look at the cite, he did say it.


I did. It wasn't a high hurdle for you to jump, of course.



And I note you do not want to discuss any of your failing, like failing to accept that claims of academic credentials online are not worth much, and others may indeed disagree with you without being stupid or ignorant, or trying to pass off your side of an academic dispute between sets of very reputable academics as fully settled in your side's favor.

You have the opinion that a fiat currency is "all that" or the "cat's meow".

Fine, a lot of people, including reputable academic economists, dispute that, and factually it has significant problems, which periodically show up where it is used.





Adroitbeing

Adroitbeing

I'm lost
September 2003

OCT 19, 2008 09:05 PM

petepolly said:

TheFuckOffKid said:

petepolly said:
I am not sure, but your pal TheFuckOffKid had this to say about it



Thank you pete, one of your best posts ever.



Look at the cite, he did say it.


I did. It wasn't a high hurdle for you to jump, of course.



And I note you do not want to discuss any of your failing, like failing to accept that claims of academic credentials online are not worth much, and others may indeed disagree with you without being stupid or ignorant, or trying to pass off your side of an academic dispute between sets of very reputable academics as fully settled in your side's favor.

You have the opinion that a fiat currency is "all that" or the "cat's meow".

Fine, a lot of people, including reputable academic economists, dispute that, and factually it has significant problems, which periodically show up where it is used.



Those opinions are largely held by people who have been rationalized because of their insistence on dogma and repeatedly demonstrating the inability to actually take responsibility for the outcome of something significant and act.

It's easy to be attached to dogma when you are not responsible for the results.

TheFuckOffKid

TheFuckOffKid

NEWSWIRE

Australia

OCT 19, 2008 09:25 PM

petepolly said:
And I note you do not want to discuss any of your failing, like failing to accept that claims of academic credentials online are not worth much


Dear God, you're getting desperate. I don't give a rat's flying arse what you do or don't think about my "credentials". There are people on this site who know what I do for a living. As for you and everyone else, I demonstrate my expertise by posting knowledgeably. End of discussion.

and others may indeed disagree with you without being stupid or ignorant


Others may. Of course. You, on the other hand, struggle to.

You have the opinion that a fiat currency is "all that" or the "cat's meow".


No, I never said that. I don't think that fiat currency is always and everywhere fine, since it's prone to hyper-inflation if managed (very) badly.

Like, duh.

Clearly, you don't understand my positions, you just jump to conclusions about what you think they are. Which reinforces my reasons for not taking you seriously.

FearTheReaper

FearTheReaper

NEWSWIRE

I'm lost

OCT 19, 2008 10:00 PM

petepolly said:

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused



I am not sure, but your pal TheFuckOffKid had this to say about it




Thank you pete, one of your best posts ever.

There are some serious heavy-hitting names in there.



Look at the cite, he did say it.



You are, of course, referring to a letter that was written and signed by economists BEFORE Congress looked at and changed the bill. The letter was a response to the first Paulson offer, which was then changed.

So, it was a misleading post and another reason to ignore everything you post.

skeptik

skeptik

New Orleans, LA
February 2004

OCT 19, 2008 11:29 PM

petepolly said:

skeptik said:

TheFuckOffKid said:

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused


Not the issue. What petepolly posted -- in another thread -- was not a fringe group of extremists, but a cross-section of eminent people expressing concern about the initial bail-out proposal.

I even thanked him for posting it.

There's no doubt that many people who felt some kind of major intervention was needed were unhappy with Paulson's proposals. (The man has come off looking incompetent, not that that's anything new from senior people in the Bush administration.) Some wanted to say that they opposed the proposal on offer. Good for them.

If that's pollypanda's biggest contribution to the discourse, well, that's another matter.



And, as was also pointed out in that other thread, the bailout proposal that those 150 economists opposed was the first one. You know, the three-page, "give me the money and trust me" proposal that never even made it out of Bush's invitational conference.

They may still oppose the one that actually passed, but we don't know.




My take is that unless they explicitly say so, it is safer to assume they had not.

If several doctors tell you not do say lift over 50 pounds or you may have a heart attack, and you think that putting a weight lifting belt on first will make a big difference, I would check with the docs again before trying it.



I don't know that it's "safer to assume that."

Using your analogy, if the doctors say instead, "if you lift fifty pounds without support you may have a hernia, or throw out your back" and then you put on a weight belt first, it may in deed make a big difference.

The letter did not say, "don't intervene, because intervention would be bad." It said, "don't rush an intervention without also taking precautions, because the lack of precautions is bad, and there's currently no need to hurry." It listed specific problems they had with the first, three-page proposal. If those problems were addressed, it is not unreasonable to assume they would no longer have the same objections.

SPOILERS! (Click to view)

1) Its fairness. The plan is a subsidy to investors at taxpayers' expense. Investors who took risks to earn profits must also bear the losses. Not every business failure carries systemic risk. The government can ensure a well-functioning financial industry, able to make new loans to creditworthy borrowers, without bailing out particular investors and institutions whose choices proved unwise.

2) Its ambiguity. Neither the mission of the new agency nor its oversight are clear. If taxpayers are to buy illiquid and opaque assets from troubled sellers, the terms, occasions, and methods of such purchases must be crystal clear ahead of time and carefully monitored afterwards.

3) Its long-term effects. If the plan is enacted, its effects will be with us for a generation. For all their recent troubles, America's dynamic and innovative private capital markets have brought the nation unparalleled prosperity. Fundamentally weakening those markets in order to calm short-run disruptions is desperately short-sighted.

For these reasons we ask Congress not to rush, to hold appropriate hearings, and to carefully consider the right course of action, and to wisely determine the future of the financial industry and the U.S. economy for years to come.




Those were their reasons for objecting. They may still object to the final version that was passed. But we don't know that.

If the final version addressed these points, or if the perceived lack of urgency changed, they may very well have changed their minds.

petepolly

petepolly

Antarctica
August 2008

OCT 20, 2008 06:26 AM

skeptik said:

petepolly said:

skeptik said:

TheFuckOffKid said:

Coyotemike said:
I wonder . . . how many economic academics are there in America? confused


Not the issue. What petepolly posted -- in another thread -- was not a fringe group of extremists, but a cross-section of eminent people expressing concern about the initial bail-out proposal.

I even thanked him for posting it.

There's no doubt that many people who felt some kind of major intervention was needed were unhappy with Paulson's proposals. (The man has come off looking incompetent, not that that's anything new from senior people in the Bush administration.) Some wanted to say that they opposed the proposal on offer. Good for them.

If that's pollypanda's biggest contribution to the discourse, well, that's another matter.



And, as was also pointed out in that other thread, the bailout proposal that those 150 economists opposed was the first one. You know, the three-page, "give me the money and trust me" proposal that never even made it out of Bush's invitational conference.

They may still oppose the one that actually passed, but we don't know.




My take is that unless they explicitly say so, it is safer to assume they had not.

If several doctors tell you not do say lift over 50 pounds or you may have a heart attack, and you think that putting a weight lifting belt on first will make a big difference, I would check with the docs again before trying it.



I don't know that it's "safer to assume that."

Using your analogy, if the doctors say instead, "if you lift fifty pounds without support you may have a hernia, or throw out your back" and then you put on a weight belt first, it may in deed make a big difference.

The letter did not say, "don't intervene, because intervention would be bad." It said, "don't rush an intervention without also taking precautions, because the lack of precautions is bad, and there's currently no need to hurry." It listed specific problems they had with the first, three-page proposal. If those problems were addressed, it is not unreasonable to assume they would no longer have the same objections.

SPOILERS! (Click to view)

1) Its fairness. The plan is a subsidy to investors at taxpayers' expense. Investors who took risks to earn profits must also bear the losses. Not every business failure carries systemic risk. The government can ensure a well-functioning financial industry, able to make new loans to creditworthy borrowers, without bailing out particular investors and institutions whose choices proved unwise.

2) Its ambiguity. Neither the mission of the new agency nor its oversight are clear. If taxpayers are to buy illiquid and opaque assets from troubled sellers, the terms, occasions, and methods of such purchases must be crystal clear ahead of time and carefully monitored afterwards.

3) Its long-term effects. If the plan is enacted, its effects will be with us for a generation. For all their recent troubles, America's dynamic and innovative private capital markets have brought the nation unparalleled prosperity. Fundamentally weakening those markets in order to calm short-run disruptions is desperately short-sighted.

For these reasons we ask Congress not to rush, to hold appropriate hearings, and to carefully consider the right course of action, and to wisely determine the future of the financial industry and the U.S. economy for years to come.




Those were their reasons for objecting. They may still object to the final version that was passed. But we don't know that.

If the final version addressed these points, or if the perceived lack of urgency changed, they may very well have changed their minds.



The fairness issue did not go away at all, the ambiguous terms were addressed a little bit, but from the thread about "discretionary" bonus payouts to CEOs exceeding 1/10 the amount of the bailout, clearly not enough, the long term effects were just not looked at from what I saw.

No extensive hearings were held, no significant numbers of qualified people against the bailout were allowed to speak on capital hill under oath on either version.

I think my analogy holds pretty well.

DevilsReject

DevilsReject

Cleveland, OH
February 2007

OCT 21, 2008 04:05 AM

This scares me.


Both blast furnaces at ArcelorMittal's Cleveland operations are likely to be idled in the next week or two as the company responds to a drastic drop in orders, according to the local steelworkers union.

"That means we won't be making any iron, so we won't be making any steel," said Mark Granakis, president of Local 979 of the United Steelworkers of America.




Steel companies regularly idle furnaces for maintenance or to respond to drops in demand. But idling of all available furnaces at one time is highly unusual, Granakis said.



The plant was once LTV Steel, and was one of the primary employers in the area. The last time they idled all the furnaces, LTV filed bankruptcy and ISG bought them out and cut an immense amount of jobs. ArcelorMittal later took over operations. They employ only 11% of the original LTV workforce.

You can't shut down a furnace, not ones this old. If you just shut them down, you have to re-brick them before bringing them back up, there is a whole bunch of work and emission standards if you actually shut a furnace off and that costs a lot of money. When they were going through the bankruptcy/buyout, they put the C5 Furnace and the C6 Furnace on idle and mothballed the C1 Furnace "to be brought up later". "Brought up later" was translated into torn down and scrapped and the land was turned into "The Steelyard Shopping Center".

What the article fails to mention too, is that all subcontracted work has been cut until the furnaces come out of idle. Which means every subcontracted employee (which is a lot) will be on unemployment until then, or they will leave Cleveland and find other work.

This is a hit Cleveland can't afford to take if the furnaces go cold.....we don't have much left.

Varuka_Salt

Varuka_Salt

I'm lost
October 2006

OCT 23, 2008 07:10 PM

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