Feb 9/10 Primaries and Caucus Scoreboard

Democrats
Feb. 9: Washington (caucus), Nebraska (caucus), Louisiana, Virgin Islands
Feb. 10: Maine (caucus)

Republicans
Feb 9: Kansas (caucus), Washington (caucus & primary), Louisiana

Predictions, thoughts, results?

Even though the Huckster took Kansas, we all know McCain has things virtually wrapped up. Looking to the more interesting side of aisle. . .

Though Obama's camp has run a highly effective campaign throughout, one area in which they've consistently been atrocious is in allowing the Clintons, and subsequently the media, to set expectation levels. They have not yet gotten the hang of the "lowering expectations" game. Even today, they've let the narrative become that all today's contests (and perhaps all of February's) are Obama's to lose.

In reality, even though Obama is generally better positioned here than the Super Tuesday states, in the end he is the challenger and facing a significant Clinton DLC machine in each of them, and does face an uphill battle. I do think Obama has a good chance to take today's states, but if he does, Hillary's people have dictated that because this was expected, it's insignificant (which in itself makes no sense, as a run of the table should demonstrate Obama's vastly wider appeal - you couldn't pick three states out of a hat and come up with more disparate demographics than Louisiana, Nebraska, and Washington), and if he doesn't, then it's somehow a monstrous coup for her.

Early caucus reports look good for Obama in NE and WA. Conversely, Louisiana some are reporting might look like an upset for Clinton, due to very low turnout and unknown changes in demographics after Katrina. Maine tomorrow is a reprieve for Clinton, as the population fits her model vastly better, but if Obama does win all three states today, that plus the fact that it's a caucus could allow an all-O weekend going into the Potomac Primaries.

Do we know what time the caucuses and primary voting is closing today?

7:15 Central Time is when the Nebraska results will be released, according to the local media.

Prediction: Nebraska will go mainly for Obama. Washington will be closely split, but in Obama's favor. Don't know on the others. End of the weekend, I am betting Obama will have a very slight lead.

My relatives in Washington said they were voting for Obama.

I believe Clinton has a lock on the Virgin Islands.

It's not surprising since she did so well in American Samoa.

Obama appears to be kicking ass in Washington. Non-scientifically, of course.

LA has been an information vacuum; I'm hearing nothing from there even on the Obama website.

Obama projected winner in NE, far out ahead in Washington.

I am not sure what to make of Louisiana with the supposed low turnout. It is a very weird state. But I think Obama will take Nebraska and Washington easily. I think he will squeak by in the Virgin Islands and I think Hillary will win Maine.

He got about 70% of the Nebraska votes . . . I'd call that a win.

Clinton is really not a great speaker. She's better than McCain in that respect, but she still comes off so forced.

It's like she's reading from a report. Very little emotion or emphasis. I can't wait for her speech at the convention. I'm sure it'll be a barn burner.

It makes me really uncomfortable.

LA Times calls Washington and Nebraska for Obama.

It's like Chinese water torture. Imagine having to listen to this for 4+ years. All of those State of the Unions. Oy.

Why would you have to listen to her, if McCain is president? I don't understand.

CNN report for those interested

CNN's exit polls are saying Obama's ahead in Louisiana.

heh, good point.

Sooooo presidential.

I find it really insulting that CNN has not ONCE mentioned that Ron Paul is "out" of the race. They don't respect the ReLOVEution.

courtesy of MrCrisp:

Looks like a 7-8 point win in Louisiana for Obama, if the exit polls are accurate.