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legionnaire

legionnaire

United Kingdom
November 2003

NOV 22, 2006 02:21 PM

Lebanon's government has remained a precarious balance of power between Maronite Christians, Shiite and Sunni Muslims, as well as a host of smaller religious denomination, which have somewhat miraculously been able to band together to form one of the few functioning democracies in the Middle East, and even to wrest control from nearby Syria which dominated all aspects of life on Lebanon until very recently. But the recent assassination of Pierre Gemayel, a prominent Christian leader in the country, as well as renewed attempts by Hezbollah to elect a pro-Syrian government threaten to destabilize that balance.



Pierre Gemayel, Lebanon's industry minister and son of a former president, was shot dead here Tuesday, the first assassination of a major anti-Syrian figure in almost a year.



The murder of the 34-year-old minister is certain to further aggravate political tensions in Lebanon where the militant Shiite Hizbullah party is spearheading a drive to overturn the Western-backed government. Hizbullah has plans to hold street demonstrations as soon as Thursday to force new elections.

[...]

The shooting follows the resignation of six pro-Syrian ministers from the 24-seat government, plunging the country into deep crisis. They resigned after talks among Lebanon's top leaders reached a deadlock over Hizbullah's demand that it and its allies be given a greater stake in the cabinet. Hizbullah says that unless the government yields, the pro-Syrian opposition will begin pushing for early parliamentary elections.



Under the Lebanese constitution, a government cannot function if one-third of the cabinet resigns or is incapacitated. The resignations of the six ministers last week and Gemayel's murder means that if another minister is removed, the government will fall.



All of which sheds new light on the events that transpired this past summer between Hezbollah and Israel. Israel's overwhelming military response to the attack on its soldiers played right into the hands of Hezbollah political leaders, who are still reaping the benefits of coming off as the "victors" in that struggle (survival against a superior foe was considered to be a victory by many.) And the rapid, comprehensive relief effort mounted by Hezbollah immediately following the cessation of hostilities is now revealed to be the political ploy many suspected it would be. If an election were hold now Hezbollah would have much greater popularity after its perceived generosity in helping to rebuild parts of the country most affected by the conflict.



Hezbollah has long been suspected of having direct ties with the Syrian government, and has more recently acknowledged its relationship with Iran as well. A Hezbollah-controlled Lebanese government would be a sad reversion to the days when Syria controlled the country, and an unfortunate failure of democracy in an area where it is scarce.

NickFaust

NickFaust

USA
April 2004

NOV 22, 2006 07:30 PM

You know what I don't get - Syria is Sunni and Iran is Shia. How is it that Hezbollah is getting support from both. Somebody do the math for me.

quagmirething

quagmirething

I'm lost
June 2005

NOV 22, 2006 07:48 PM

My guess would be that the Golan Heights make all the difference. It wouldn't in the nature of a nationalistic dictatorship to let that sort of thing slide.

LiquidSunset

LiquidSunset

Pomona, CA
August 2006

NOV 22, 2006 08:42 PM

It's always sad how whenever it gets relatively close to things coming to a non-chaotic world in the Middle East, something like this happens which completely blows apart the shaky-to-begin-with foundations, throwing everything into a hugh collapse. Just have to keep starting over again from the beginning.

hadees

hadees

Austin, TX
December 2003

NOV 23, 2006 11:50 AM

NickFaust said:
You know what I don't get - Syria is Sunni and Iran is Shia. How is it that Hezbollah is getting support from both. Somebody do the math for me.


Because they all hate Israel. If Israel was out of the picture they would turn on each other in a second.

HarManic

HarManic

Decatur, IL
March 2005

NOV 23, 2006 12:42 PM

I swear, this headline might as well read:

NEWS: Sun rising could mean trouble in Lebanon

SockPuppet

SockPuppet

I'm lost
July 2006

NOV 23, 2006 03:24 PM

DarkRocker said:
It's always sad how whenever it gets relatively close to things coming to a non-chaotic world in the Middle East, something like this happens which completely blows apart the shaky-to-begin-with foundations, throwing everything into a hugh collapse. Just have to keep starting over again from the beginning.



It's just coincidence.

MisterEnrolled

MisterEnrolled

Birmingham, AL
October 2005

NOV 23, 2006 06:41 PM

HarManic said:
I swear, this headline might as well read:

NEWS: Sun rising could mean trouble in Lebanon



NEWS: Man farts, Lebanon in peril